Every property manager who's held a long-term lease and watched a neighbor's Airbnb outperform it has run the math. Short-term rental looks like the obvious winner — until you account for the turnover costs, the platform fees, the time spent coordinating cleanings at 11pm on a Sunday, and the months your listing sits empty between peak seasons.
The math is more complicated than either side wants to admit. This guide lays out the real numbers for a 2BR vacation rental unit, side by side, across the metrics that actually determine net yield: gross revenue, occupancy rate, operating expenses, net income, and management effort. Then it covers when each strategy wins, and how the best operators use both simultaneously.
1. The STR vs LTR Decision Framework
The right rental strategy for a property is not a one-time choice — it's a function of three variables that change over time:
- Market demand density — How many potential short-term guests are searching within a reasonable drive of your property? Tourism markets, coastal destinations, mountain retreats, and urban metros have consistent STR demand. Suburban and rural markets typically don't.
- Regulatory environment — Does your city, HOA, or building permit short-term rentals? Some markets cap STR at 90–180 nights/year. Others have banned them entirely. Long-term rental faces far fewer regulatory obstacles in most jurisdictions.
- Owner management tolerance — STR generates more revenue per unit but requires more hands-on management (or a management fee that eats into that revenue). Owners who want truly passive income often end up choosing LTR even when STR would net more.
The decision isn't "STR or LTR?" — it's "which of these conditions does my property satisfy, and what does the math say once I account for all costs?" See the 7 metrics Pacer tracks across every portfolio →
2. Revenue Comparison: 2BR Unit, Real Numbers
These figures represent a furnished 2BR unit in a mid-size tourism market — average STR demand, moderate seasonality. Think Myrtle Beach, Asheville, or a mid-tier Colorado ski town. The LTR example is a standard unfurnished lease at market rate in the same metro.
| Metric | Short-Term Rental (Airbnb/VRBO) | Long-Term Lease (12-month) |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Annual Revenue | $48,000–$72,000 Higher | $24,000–$36,000 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | 65–80% (varies by market) | 95–100% Higher |
| Nights Occupied/Year | 237–292 nights | 350–365 nights |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | $165–$250/night Higher | $67–$100/night (monthly ÷ 30) |
| Platform/O TA Fees | $4,800–$10,800/yr (10–15% of revenue) | $0 |
| Cleaning & Turnover Costs | $4,000–$9,000/yr (~$75–$120/turn, 1x/month avg) | $0 (tenant cleans their own unit) |
| Repairs & Maintenance | $2,400–$5,000/yr (higher wear) | $1,200–$2,400/yr Lower |
| Management Fee (outsourced) | $4,800–$10,800/yr (10–15% if using PM) | $1,200–$2,400/yr (one month's rent at lease-up) |
| Vacancy Loss (off-season gaps) | $6,000–$12,000/yr (seasonal dips) | $0–$1,200/yr (lease-change turnover only) |
| Utilities (owner-paid) | $1,200–$2,400/yr | $0 (tenant pays) |
| Net Operating Income (est.) | $24,000–$38,000/yr Higher | $18,000–$30,000/yr |
| Management Effort (owner hours/mo) | 2–8 hrs/month (or $480–$900/mo PM fee) | 0.5–2 hrs/month Lower |
Net operating income for STR assumes the owner uses either a property manager (10–15% of revenue) or self-manages. Self-management saves the fee but costs 4–8 hours/month in coordinator time — coordinating cleanings, managing guest messages, handling disputes, managing reviews. That time has an opportunity cost.
Net yield takeaway: In a favorable STR market, short-term rental nets $24,000–$38,000/year vs. $18,000–$30,000 for long-term — roughly 25–35% more. But that gap compresses to near-zero in markets with low STR demand, strict regulation, or high property manager fees (coastal cities where PM rates run 25–30%).
3. When STR Wins
Short-term rental outperforms when these conditions are present — the more, the better.
High-Tourism, High-Demand Markets
If your property is within 30 minutes of a destination with consistent visitor traffic — beach towns, ski resorts, major metros with strong weekend leisure demand — STR wins on revenue. The math doesn't require perfect conditions: even moderate seasonal demand with 200+ occupied nights/year at $180/night ADR generates $36,000 gross before fees, comfortably beating LTR in the same market.
Properties That Command a Premium Nightly Rate
Unique properties — renovated homes with a view, historic downtown units, properties near event venues or concert halls — can command STR rates that have no equivalent in the long-term market. A 2BR downtown condo that rents for $250/night during a major conference weekend is generating $750 in three nights. The equivalent monthly rent might be $2,200. See how dynamic pricing captures these spikes →
Owners Who Want Active Management or Have In-House Staff
PM companies with existing cleaner networks, handyman relationships, and guest communication systems already have the infrastructure to run STR efficiently. For them, the marginal cost of running an STR is lower than it is for a solo owner, and the revenue premium is fully captured.
Markets With Seasonal Demand Peaks
Properties in ski towns, lake communities, and beach destinations that are effectively dead for 4–6 months of the year under long-term lease can be switched to LTR or mid-term rental during the slow season. Use the RevPAR calculator to see how seasonality affects your effective rate →
4. When LTR Wins
Long-term rental wins in conditions where STR either underperforms or requires so much management overhead that the net yield advantage disappears.
Low-STR-Demand Markets
Properties in suburban neighborhoods, college towns outside campus-walk radius, or mid-size cities without significant tourism don't have enough short-term demand to fill calendar gaps. Running STR in a market where 40% of nights sit empty means you're taking the management effort of STR with the vacancy risk of LTR — the worst of both.
Strict STR Regulation
Many cities now cap STR at 90–180 nights/year, require owner occupancy, or ban them in residential zones entirely. If your market has hard caps, STR's revenue advantage is limited to whatever the cap allows. HOA communities with rental restrictions face the same constraint.
Hands-Off Owners
If the owner doesn't want to manage guest communication, coordinate turnover cleanings, or deal with late-night lockout calls, STR is the wrong fit unless they're paying a PM at 20–30% of revenue. At that PM rate in a moderate market, the net yield gap between STR and LTR can flip in LTR's favor.
Remote or Hard-to-Access Properties
Properties in remote mountain locations, rural settings, or areas without reliable cleaner availability are poor STR candidates. Turnover logistics break down, cleaning costs spike, and guest satisfaction suffers. A long-term tenant in a remote property is a much lower-touch arrangement.
5. The Hybrid Approach
The most sophisticated property managers don't choose STR or LTR — they mix both at the portfolio level, assigning each property to the strategy that fits its characteristics, market position, and the owner's management preferences.
STR Assets
Beachfront and waterfront properties. Units within 15 minutes of major event venues, stadiums, or convention centers. Downtown and mixed-use neighborhoods with walkable tourism infrastructure. Renovation-grade properties that command premium nightly rates.
LTR Assets
Suburban family-home inventory in stable residential neighborhoods. Properties in STR-regulated zones. Units where the current tenant relationship is strong and lease renewal is likely. Furnished units near universities (mid-term lease to grad students = hybrid option).
Seasonal Rotation Strategy
Some PMs run a hybrid by switching a property's strategy seasonally: STR during the high-demand window (summer for beach markets, winter for ski markets) and long-term lease during the shoulder/off-season. This captures peak-season STR revenue while eliminating off-season vacancy risk. The math works when the high-season STR window generates enough net revenue to offset the cost of breaking the LTR lease and re-leasing it.
Mid-Term Rentals as a Bridge
Monthly corporate rentals, traveling nurse leases, and mid-term family relocations occupy a middle ground between STR and LTR — higher per-night rates than standard LTR, lower turnover than STR, and occupancy that can fill the calendar during STR off-seasons. This is increasingly attractive as corporate and digital-nomad demand grows in secondary markets.
Pacer's portfolio strategy audit covers every unit in your inventory and makes a property-by-property recommendation: STR, LTR, or seasonal hybrid. It maps each property against market data, regulatory constraints, and your owner's management preference. See how Pacer tracks portfolio performance across all strategies →
6. How Pacer Helps You Optimize Your Strategy
Whether you run pure STR, pure LTR, or a hybrid portfolio, Pacer manages the revenue strategy layer across your entire inventory. Here's what that looks like for each approach:
For STR portfolios: Pacer pulls booking pace, ADR trends, and channel mix data to make real-time pricing decisions — adjusting rates based on comp set performance, upcoming local events, and seasonal demand curves. Gap-fill automation handles orphan nights. See how dynamic pricing works for vacation rentals →
For LTR portfolios: While Pacer specializes in short-term revenue management, the pricing and market analysis framework applies to portfolio-level yield optimization — understanding when market rent is undervalued, when a lease renewal should come with a rate adjustment, and when a property could shift to mid-term or STR with better economics.
For hybrid portfolios: Pacer runs each strategy on its own terms while tracking overall portfolio RevPAR — the metric that lets you compare STR and LTR performance on the same scale regardless of how each unit is rented.
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Prefer email? jon@pacerrev.com